MODEL OF PROGNOSTICATION OF RISK OF DEVELOPMENT OF DISORDERS OF ADAPTATION AND ADDICTIVE BEHAVIOR OF STUDENTS OF JUNIOR COURSES
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.11603/1681-2786.2016.3.7010Keywords:
addictive behavior, adjustment disorder, psychoactive substances, students, the youth.Abstract
Purpose – to work out the mathematical model of individual prognostication of risk of development of disorders of adaptation and addictive behavior of the students of junior courses of university for the improvement of curatively-diagnostic and prophylactic events of medical and social help.
Materials and methods. A complex estimation of the addictive and psychoemotional status of 1076 junior students of the University is conducted through clustering distribution made by groups, using the method of binary logistic regression analysis of causal relationships, and established prognostic role of risk factors in shaping the adaptation disorders and addictive behaviors of youth. Research methods: information-analytical methods, socio-demographic methods, clinical and medical history methods, clinical and abnormal psychology methods, psychodiagnostic methods, mathematical and statistical methods.
Results. It is well-proven that the students of junior courses are apt to the use of PAS (80.9%). Binary logistic regression determined the authenticity of the event depending on the values of the independent variables. The got tables of specifications allowed to expect diagnostic descriptions for this model: sensitiveness – 63.4%; specificity – 58.3%; efficiency – 60.9%;
Conclusions. Binary logistic regression that is got by us is an adequate and capable working mathematical model for the individual prognosis of development of disorders of adaptation and addictive behavior.
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