CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES IN UKRAINE UNDER CONDITIONS OF GLOBAL WARMING
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.11603/1681-2786.2023.1.13859Keywords:
average annual temperature, cardiovascular diseases, urban and rural population, pollution indexAbstract
Рurpose: to establish the relationship between cardiovascular diseases in Ukraine and an increase in the average annual temperature.
Materials and Мethods. The data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine on the number of cases of cardiovascular diseases from 1990 to 2013, as well as on the share of the urban and rural population in various regions for 1990, 2000 and 2013 were analyzed. Statistical data starting from 2014 were not used due to their absence from the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine. Average annual temperatures were obtained from the global database – The Global Historical Climatology Network. With the help of the National reports on the state of the natural environment in Ukraine, atmospheric air pollution in the regions of Ukraine was assessed. Statistical processing of the obtained results was carried out using correlation and regression analysis with determination of the reliability of the approximation.
Results. A direct average correlation between average annual temperatures and the number of newly registered cases of cardiovascular diseases in Ukraine between 1990 and 2013 was established (correlation coefficient +0.5). After carrying out an analysis between the regions of Ukraine, it was established that in the regions with direct strong and medium correlations between the number of newly detected diseases of the circulatory system and average annual air temperatures (Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhya, Luhansk, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Kyiv, Sumy, Kherson, Odesa, Mykolaiv, Kirovohrad, Lviv, Zhytomyr regions) the urban population prevails, as well as a higher air pollution index. In other regions of Ukraine, where the rural population predominates, a weak straight line is established, as well as inverse correlation dependences and a lower level of atmospheric air pollution.
Conclusions. In recent decades, the average annual temperature of the environment has been increasing, which has a negative effect on human health, in particular on the cardiovascular system, causing its damage. Therefore, it is important to start acting now to avoid the negative consequences of global warming.
References
Derzhavna sluzhba statystyky Ukrayiny [State Statistics Service of Ukraine]. Retrieved from: http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/ [in Ukrainian].
Ministerstvo oxorony zdorovya [Ministry of Health of Ukraine]. Retrieved from: https://moz.gov.ua/article/health/zahvorjuvannja-sercevo-sudinnoi-sistemi-faktori-riziku-ta-profilaktika [in Ukrainian].
Nacionalna dopovid pro stan navkolyshnogo pryrodnogo seredovyshha v Ukrayini u 2004 rotsi [National Report on the State of the Environment in Ukraine in 2004]. Retrieved from: https://ecoclubrivne.org/files/2_nac_dop_pro_stan_nps_2004.pdf [in Ukrainian].
Nacionalna dopovid pro stan navkolyshnogo pryrodnogo seredovyshha v Ukrayini u 2012 rotsi [National Report on the State of the Environment in Ukraine in 2012]. Retrieved from: https://mepr.gov.ua/news/31172.html [in Ukrainian].
Osnovy biostatystyky, yiyi znachennya v praktyrsi oxorony zdorovia [Fundamentals of biostatistics, its importance in health practice]. Retrieved from: https://svitppt.com.ua/medicina/osnovi-biostatistiki-ii-znachennya-v-praktici-ohoroni-zdorovya.html [in Ukrainian].
Dyachuk, D.D., Moroz, G.Z., Gidzinskaya, I.M., Kravchenko, A.M., Lasitsa, T.S., & Dzizinskaya, O.O. (2019). Profilaktyka sercevo-sudynnyx zaxvoryuvan: teoretychni zasady ta praktychne vprovadzhennya [Prevention of cardiovascular diseases: theoretical fundamentals and practical implementation]. Kyiv [in Ukrainian].
Ramkova konventsiya Organizatsiyi Obiednanykh Nacii pro zminu klimatu [United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change]. Retrieved from: https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/995_044 [in Ukrainian].
Ukrayinskyj Gidrometcentr [Ukrainian Meteorological Center]. Retrieved from: https://meteo.gov.ua/ [in Ukrainian].
Yak viyna nablyzhaie globalne poteplinnia ta masove vymyrannia na Zemli [How War Brings Global Warming and Mass Extinction on Earth]. Retrieved from: https://rubryka.com/article/war-and-climate-change/ [in Ukrainian].
Liu, С., Chen, R., Sera, F., Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M., Guo, Y., & Tong, S. (2019). Ambient particulate air pollution and daily mortality in 652 cities. N. Engl. J. Med., 381(8), 705-715. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMc1913285
Bezruk, T. (2021). Climate change, war and forest fires in eastern Ukraine. Open Democracy.
(2020). GBD 2019 Demographics Collaborators. Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (HALE), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2019: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Lancet, 396, 1160-1203.
Pachauri, R.K., Allen, M.R., Barros, V.R., Broome, J., Cramer, W., Christ, R., … Church, J.A., (2014). Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Geneva, Switzerland: IPCC.
Menne Matthew, J. (2012). Global Historical Climatology Network - Daily (GHCN-Daily), Version 3. NOAA National Climatic Data Center.
Miles Marchand, M.D., Kenneth Gin, M.D., & FRCPC, FCCS. (2021). The Cardiovascular System in Heat Stroke. CJC Open, 1-6.
Peters, A., & Schneider, A. (2021). Cardiovascular risks of climate change. Nat. Rev. Cardiol., 18, 1-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41569-020-00473-5
Rossati, A. (2017). Global Warming and Its Health Impact. Int. J. Occup. Environ. Med., 8(1), 7-20. DOI: https://doi.org/10.15171/ijoem.2017.963
Shevchenko, O. (2021). Human Thermal Comfort Conditions during Heat Wave Events in Kyiv, Ukraine. Environ. Res. Eng. Manag., 77, 99-110. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5755/j01.erem.77.2.23142
Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M., Scovronick, N., Sera, F., Roye, D., Shneider, R., Tobias, A., … Gasparrini, A. (2021). The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change. Nat. Clim. Chang., 11, 492-500. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01058-x
Watts, N., Amann, M., Arnell, N., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Boykoff, M., … Montgomery, H. (2019). The 2019 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: ensuring that the health of a child born today is not defined by a changing climate. Lancet, 394(10211), 1836-1878. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(19)32596-6
Gostimirovic, M., Novakovic, R., Rajkovic, J., Djokic, V., Terzic, D., Putnik, S., & Gojkovic-Bukarica, L. (2020). The influence of climate change on human cardiovascular function. Arch. Environ. Occup. Health, 75(7), 406-414. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19338244.2020.1742079
Tong, S., & Ebi, K. (2019). Preventing and mitigating health risks of climate change. Environmental Research, 174, 9-13. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2019.04.012
Abdurakhmonovna, S.K., Ibodullayevna, S.F., Odilovna, A.N., & Aminovna, A.R. (2021). Urban environment change and population morbidity. International Journal of Development and Public Policy, 1(6), 66-69.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Bulletin of Social Hygiene and Health Protection Organization of Ukraine
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish in this journal agree to the following terms:
1. The authors reserve the right to authorship of the work and pass the journal right of first publication of this work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License, which allows others to freely distribute the work published with reference to the authors of the original work and the first publication of this magazine.
2. Authors are entitled to enter into a separate agreement on additional non-exclusive distribution of work in the form in which it was published in the magazine (eg work place in the electronic repository institution or publish monographs in part), provided that the reference to the first publication of this magazine.
3. Policy magazine allows and encourages authors placement on the Internet (eg, in storage facilities or on personal websites) manuscript of how to submit the manuscript to the editor and during his editorial processing, since it contributes to productive scientific discussion and positive impact on the efficiency and dynamics of citing published work (see. The Effect of Open Access).